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End of Middle East war may not cool oil prices – EU official

April 2, 2026

Global oil prices will remain elevated, even if the Middle East conflict was to end tomorrow, European Union (EU) commissioner for energy and housing Dan Jørgensen, said.

IMAGE: Oil pump jacks and oilfield workers at dusk. Getty Images


Since the beginning of the conflict in Iran, crude oil prices in the EU have gained by about 60%, Jørgensen said during a meeting of EU energy ministers.

A month of conflict has added about €14 billion ($16.1 billion) to the EU’s fossil fuels import bill, the commissioner added.

“As the crisis in the Middle East enters its second month, it is clear that we are facing a very serious situation,” Jørgensen said.

The commissioner indicated in his speech that while there are no immediate oil supply shortages for the EU countries, a tightness in certain product markets is already felt.

The prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz has cut global seaborne oil flows massively, according to media reports. Almost a fifth of global crude oil transits the strait – now stranded due to repeated attacks in the region.

“We should be under no illusion that the consequences of this crisis for the energy markets will be short-lived. Because they won't,” Jørgensen said.

By Aparupa Mazumder

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